Key takeaways

  • The Diderot effect turns goods into complements because of how they look together, and it turns the things you already own into worse substitutes the moment something better arrives.
  • Economists from James Duesenberry in 1949 to Robert Frank today have described spending that rises easily and falls hard, and Grant McCracken saw the same ratchet in the Diderot effect.
  • For a household, the real cost of an upgrade is the new, higher standard it sets for everything around it, paid again at every future replacement.

Standard economics pictures a shopper weighing each purchase on its own: this item, this price, this much satisfaction. The Diderot effect says that is not how people buy. Possessions come in sets that are judged together, a new member of a set changes the value of everything already in it, and each set, once upgraded, becomes the floor for the next round. Several economists have described pieces of this pattern in their own language. Put together, they explain why household spending rises so easily and comes down so hard.

Economics textbooks sort related goods into two kinds. Complements are used together, like skis and ski trips: when one gets cheaper, people buy more of the other. Substitutes replace each other, like two brands of coffee: when one gets cheaper, people buy less of the other.

The Diderot effect adds a third kind of link. A rug does not help a sofa work, but once a velvet sofa arrives, a matching rug starts to behave like a complement, because the room is judged as a single picture. At the same time, the old rug becomes a worse substitute for a new one. It still covers the floor; it just covers it less acceptably. So a new purchase does two things at once: it adds its own value, and it subtracts value from the things around it. The second effect is what turns one purchase into a chain, and it never appears on the price tag.

Ratchets: spending that goes up more easily than down

In 1949 the economist James Duesenberry proposed that what a household spends depends on two comparisons: its income relative to other people’s, and its current income relative to the highest level it has reached before. Once a family has grown used to a level of consumption, he argued, it finds that level hard to give up. Three years later the economist T. M. Brown published evidence that past consumption habits hold present spending up. The common name for this pattern is a ratchet, after the tool that turns freely one way and locks the other.

Grant McCracken, who named the Diderot effect in 1988, drew the same connection. In his account, the effect usually protects a consistent set of goods, but when it turns, it rolls upward step by step, each new item raising the standard the next one must meet, and it resists any movement back down. A Diderot chain is a ratchet at the scale of a single room.

Work and spend

The economist Juliet Schor carried the argument from the room to the working week. In The Overworked American (1991) she described what she called the cycle of work and spend: as productivity rose, Americans took the gains as higher pay and more consumption rather than more free time, and the new spending then made it harder to choose shorter hours. In The Overspent American (1998) she turned to the upward creep of what people feel they need, and discussed the Diderot effect as one of its engines.

The two ideas fit together. A raise funds an upgrade; the upgrade sets off a chain; the chain becomes a standard; the standard needs the income. Robert Frank and his coauthors later described a version that runs through whole communities, which they call expenditure cascades: when people near the top spend more, the standard shifts for those just below them, and then for those below them. A bigger house in one neighborhood quietly redefines what an adequate house is in the next.

Hedonic adaptation: the pleasure fades, the standard stays

People adapt to improvements in their circumstances. A review by Ed Diener and colleagues found that adaptation is real but more varied than the old “hedonic treadmill” idea suggested: people differ, and some changes do shift lasting well-being. For a spending chain, the uncomfortable part is the combination. The pleasure of the new sofa fades within months, but the standard it set does not. What remains is the higher baseline, without the lift that came with it.

Why upgrades compound

Put those pieces together and an upgrade costs more than its price in three ways.

The chain. The follow-on purchases, which our ten example chains put at anything from a fraction of the first item to several times it.

The higher replacement level. Every future replacement is bought at the new standard. If a living room that used to cost $1,800 to furnish now costs $3,200, each refresh for the rest of your life starts from the higher figure.

The shorter life. Research by Silvia Bellezza and colleagues found that people treat what they own more carelessly when an appealing upgrade is available, so things wear out, get lost or get “broken” sooner, and the next cycle comes earlier.

A rough illustration, not a forecast: the $1,400 difference between those two living rooms, invested instead at a 5 percent real return, would grow to about $3,700 over 20 years. That figure leaves out every later refresh at the higher level, and it is still more than twice the original difference.

What it means for a household budget

Budget by set, not by item. Give the living room, the wardrobe or a hobby a yearly figure, and count every follow-on against it. A chain then has to compete with everything else in its set.

Replace on failure, not on mismatch. Make “it stopped working” the default reason to replace something. “It no longer matches” can still win, but it has to win as an argument, not as a reflex.

Price the standard, not the sticker. Before an upgrade, ask what it will cost to keep the whole set at the new level, now and at the next replacement. Our Chain Cost Calculator shows the first round of that in months of saving.

Slow the second purchase. A waiting period such as the 30-day rule gives adaptation time to work in your favor, so the new thing feels normal before you decide whether the old things really need to go. The seven rules for stopping a chain cover the rest, and the hub page has the short version.

Questions readers ask

Is the Diderot effect an economic theory?

Not exactly. The name comes from anthropology and consumer research, through Grant McCracken's 1988 book. Economists have described closely related ideas in their own terms, such as relative income, habit persistence and expenditure cascades. Together they explain why spending tends to rise more easily than it falls.

How is the Diderot effect different from keeping up with the Joneses?

Keeping up with the Joneses is about comparing your things with other people's. The Diderot effect compares your things with your own newest thing. They often work together. A neighbor's new kitchen makes yours look dated, and once you replace one part of it, the Diderot effect takes care of the rest.

Does the Diderot effect show up in official spending statistics?

Not as a separate line. National surveys record what households spend, not why. A sofa bought to match a new rug looks the same in the data as one bought because the old one broke. That is one reason the effect is easier to see in your own records than in the national figures.

What is the simplest budgeting change that guards against it?

Stop budgeting item by item. Put one yearly number on each set you care about, such as a room, your clothes or a hobby, and count every follow-on purchase against it. The rug for the new sofa then comes out of the same number as everything else in the room, which turns it into a real choice.

Sources

  1. Principles of Economics 3e, section 3.2: Shifts in demand and supply for goods and services (OpenStax) The textbook definitions of complements and substitutes.
  2. Income, Saving and the Theory of Consumer Behavior (James Duesenberry, Harvard University Press, 1949), library copy The relative income hypothesis, including the idea that spending depends on the highest level a household has reached before.
  3. Relative income hypothesis (Wikipedia) A short summary of Duesenberry's two hypotheses.
  4. Brown (1952), Habit persistence and lags in consumer behaviour, Econometrica 20(3) An early study of how past consumption habits hold present spending up.
  5. The Overworked American: The Unexpected Decline of Leisure (Juliet Schor, Basic Books, 1991), library record Chapter 5, "The Insidious Cycle of Work-and-Spend."
  6. The Overspent American: Upscaling, Downshifting, and the New Consumer (Juliet Schor, Basic Books, 1998), library record Schor's account of upscaling, with a discussion of the Diderot effect.
  7. Frank, Levine and Dijk (2014), Expenditure cascades, Review of Behavioral Economics 1(1-2) How spending by people higher up the income scale resets the standard for those just below them.
  8. Diener, Lucas and Scollon (2006), Beyond the hedonic treadmill: Revising the adaptation theory of well-being, American Psychologist 61(4) A review of hedonic adaptation and its limits.
  9. Culture and Consumption (Grant McCracken, Indiana University Press, 1988), library record of the first edition Chapter 8, including McCracken's discussion of the Diderot effect and the ratchet effect.
  10. Bellezza, Ackerman and Gino (2017), Be careless with that: Availability of product upgrades increases cavalier behavior toward possessions, Journal of Marketing Research 54(5) Evidence that available upgrades make people careless with what they own, shortening its useful life.

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